Back

Bitcoin (BTC) Mining Difficulty Up 40% in 2020. What About "Death Spiral?"

Why is the CTO of the leading crypto analytics platform slamming the scariest narrative by Bitcoin (BTC) bears?

article image
Cover image via stock.adobe.com

Yesterday, Bitcoin's (BTC) network difficulty witnessed its third largest positive adjustment in the last three years. Rafael Shultze-Kraft, Chief Technology Officer of Glassnode on-chain analytics vendor, has mocked one of the favorite theses of Bitcoin (BTC) skeptics, i.e., the "Death Spiral of Bitcoin Mining."

So far Bitcoin (BTC) network activity is encouraging in 2020

Mr. Shultze-Kraft showed the increase of Bitcoin (BTC) network difficulty after the third Bitcoin (BTC) halving. It is up almost 20 percent since May of this year.

Thus, the net upsurge of Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty in 2020 surpasses 40 percent. The overall hash rate of the Bitcoin (BTC) network has also set a new record over 150 trillion hashes per second. It means that the Bitcoin (BTC) network has never been so secure.

The entire network hash rate is very volatile. However, it also surged 37 percent since January. Thus, all indicators related to miners' sentiments look very optimistic despite another failure of the Bitcoin (BTC) price to continue its splendid August rally.

Ads
Ads

However, some commentators below the tweet by Mr. Schultze-Kraft highlighted that there is no strong correlation, either positive or negative, between Bitcoin (BTC) network activity and its price performance:

BTC's hash rate increased x10 in the last 2 years, while BTC's dollar value danced around 9000 US-$. I think it tells, that there is no obvious relation between BTC's hash rate and dollar value.

Along with that, as covered by CryptoComes previously, Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty and hash rate drawbacks usually reflect painful price corrections.

What is the "Death Spiral" and does it spin around the Bitcoin (BTC) network?

Mr. Schultze-Kraft ironically recalled the "Death Spiral" narrative that was very popular among Bitcoin (BTC) skeptics prior to the third Bitcoin (BTC) halving. According to that narrative, the unprofitability of mining operations with a 50 percent decline in rewards will make a significant share of miners unplug their rigs.

This, in turn, will damage the hash rate of the flagship cryptocurrency and reduce its security. Bitcoin (BTC) would lose its value and its price would plummet again, triggering a new spin of this "spiral."

Actually, this narrative was perceived as real only by the most passionate Bitcoin (BTC) bears, who were certain of the near death of the asset. However, the "Death Spiral" is failing to prove itself as a viable scenario of Bitcoin (BTC) network progress.

Only the most important posts per day. Infographics, analytics, reviews & summaries. Join our Telegram channel!

article writer image
Vladislav Sopov

Blockchain Analyst & Writer with scientific background. 5+ years in IT-analytics, 2+ years in blockchain.

Worked in independent analysis as well as in start-ups (Swap.online, Monoreto, Attic Lab etc.)