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XRP: 3 Reasons Why $2.5 is Key Recovery Point

XRP recovery is not something impossible for veteran asset

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Cover image via CryptoComes.com

Disclaimer: The opinion expressed here is not investment advice – it is provided for informational purposes only. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of CryptoComes. Every investment and all trading involves risk, so you should always perform your own research prior to making decisions. We do not recommend investing money you cannot afford to lose.

In early September 2025, XRP is at a pivotal point. Ever since it peaked earlier in the summer at about $3.07, the asset has been steadily declining due to selling pressure, creating a distinct downward trend of lower highs and lower lows. One level, $2.5, may prove crucial for XRP’s recovery despite this weakness. Reaching this point would combine a number of psychological and technical elements, making it one of the most crucial stages to observe.

EMA's support

The 200-day exponential moving average for XRP is situated nearly precisely in the $2.5 range. The 200 EMA has historically served as a distinguishing indicator between bull and bear trends. A breakdown below it runs the risk of plunging XRP into a more severe bearish phase, but a successful defense here could strengthen the long-term bullish structure. This moving average is a common tool used by traders and institutional players to make capital allocation decisions.

XRP Chart
XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView

Psychological barrier

Round numbers are important in trading because they frequently serve as psychological support and resistance. The $2.5 mark has been a definite boundary for XRP; above it, the market tends to be optimistic, while below it, sentiment changes to one of fearing more declines. Although a recovery here would boost confidence, if it didn’t hold, selling would probably pick up speed, possibly making $2.0 the next target.

In oversold territory, RSI resetting

With diminishing momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has already been moving lower. The RSI would probably reach oversold conditions if XRP fell to $2.5, which would set the stage for a technical rebound. Additionally, XRP has demonstrated strong rallies in previous cycles when its RSI hit these deep reset levels, which is why $2.5 might trigger a significant rebound.

The $2.5 level should be viewed by investors as a crucial area. A break could confirm a protracted bearish phase, while a bounce here might signal the start of a fresh recovery trend toward $3. In either scenario, $2.5 will serve as the battleground where bulls and bears will determine the course of XRP’s future.

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Arman Shirinyan

Arman is an experienced content maker and social media expert with more than six years in the cryptocurrency and fintech industry. He has worked with major crypto projects such as Project Merge, PiVX, Fiber Finance, and CoinFlex.